Nfl Betting, Odds, Lines: Betting Trends To Know For Week 14's Biggest Games
The Detroit Lions have played 56 consecutive regular season games across more than three calendar years since they last lost back-to-back games.
Yet Detroit kicks off Week 14 of the NFL season against an opponent that boasts a near-flawless record in traditional Thursday Night Football games.
Meanwhile, the slumping Indianapolis Colts and surging Jacksonville Jaguars will wrestle for control of the AFC South — in a building where Indy hasn’t won in more than a decade.
Elsewhere ...
The red-hot Chicago Bears will attempt to record their first six-game winning streak in 13 years (against a division rival they’ve defeated just six times in 17 years);
The Kansas City Chiefs will try to continue their Sunday Night Football dominance (to avoid something that’s never happened in the Patrick Mahomes era);
And the Philadelphia Eagles and Los Angeles Chargers will cap the week with what figures to be a defensive slugfest (if you believe history).
These are but a few of the topics in our Week 14 NFL betting trends report, which highlights all three prime-time contests and two pivotal Sunday afternoon matchups between division rivals.
All listed odds are via BetMGM and subject to change.
Dallas Cowboys at Detroit Lions (-3, 54.5)
Kickoff: Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET
Money line: Cowboys +130/Lions -155
• Following a 31-24 upset loss to Green Bay on Thanksgiving, the Lions have now alternated wins and losses in eight straight games overall and four consecutive home contests.
Detroit, which closed as a 2.5-point favorite against the Packers, also is now in an 0-3 ATS rut.
Two positive NFL betting trends for the Lions heading into Thursday Night Football: They haven’t dropped back-to-back games since a five-game slide early in the 2022 season, and they haven’t had a four-game ATS slump since Weeks 4-8 of 2022 (bye week included).
• Dallas arrives in the Motor City on a three-game SU and ATS uptick following a 31-28 Thanksgiving Day upset of Kansas City as a 3.5-point underdog.
It’s the Cowboys’ longest winning streak since a five-game surge from Weeks 10-14 in 2023. The last time they cashed in four straight games: Weeks 2-5 of 2022.
Dallas also is 2-4 SU on the road this year, with the wins coming against teams — the Jets and Raiders — that have a combined 5-19 record.
• The Lions snapped a six-game SU losing streak against the Cowboys last year when they traveled to Dallas and rolled 47-9 as a 3.5-point road favorite.
One bad sign for Detroit coming into this one: Not counting NFL season openers, Dallas is 9-1 all-time on Thursday Night Football (6-4 ATS).
• Detroit has hurdled the total in four of its last five overall (including three in a row at Ford Field). All four games that went “over” featured at least 51 combined points.
Meanwhile, Dallas has topped the total in eight of 11 overall and in each of its last four road contests.
Finally, 11 of the last 14 Cowboys-Lions clashes have gone over (including all four in Detroit).
Indianapolis Colts (-1.5, 47.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars
Kickoff: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
ML: Colts -130/Jaguars +110
• Jacksonville has won and covered three in a row, while Indianapolis is mired in a 1-3 SU and ATS funk.
With that, both squads are 8-4 and tied atop the AFC South standings, although the Jaguars currently own the tiebreaker.
• This is Jacksonville’s second three-game SU and ATS winning streak of 2025. The Jags haven’t won four in a row since a five-game heater from Weeks 4-8 in 2023.
Meanwhile, the Colts are looking to avoid their first three-game SU nosedive since Weeks 8-10 of 2024.
• The Jaguars’ 4-1 ATS record at home is tied with the Browns for the best mark in the NFL.
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Going back to last season, Jacksonville has cashed in eight of its last 10 at EverBank Stadium, going 5-2 ATS as a home underdog.
On the opposite side of the NFL betting trends spectrum, the Colts are 1-4 ATS in their last five as a favorite (but 3-2 SU).
• These teams split their two meetings last season, with the home team taking each contest on the field and the road team covering the spread both times.
Those outcomes aside, the Jags have owned this rivalry in the past decade, going 12-7 SU and 15-3-1 ATS.
During this stretch, Indianapolis is 0-9 SU and 1-8 ATS in Jacksonville.
• Colts RB Jonathan Taylor continues to pace the NFL in rushing (1,282 yards). However, he’s only tallied 45, 58 and 85 yards in three of his last four games.
During his career, Taylor has topped 115 rushing yards three times in seven meetings with Jacksonville — including a career-high 253 in the 2020 finale. But he’s also been held under 55 yards three times.
Taylor’s rushing projection for Sunday: 87.5.
• Each of the last five Colts-Jaguars meetings have soared over the total. Combined points in those five contests: 61, 52, 57, 61 and 49 (in overtime).
Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (-6.5, 44.5)
Kickoff: Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
ML: Bears +230/Packers -285
• Chicago is coming off a stunning 24-15 victory over the Eagles as a 7-point road underdog in the NFL’s now-annual “Black Friday” game.
The Bears are riding their first five-game winning streak since the middle of the 2018 season. Last time the franchise won six in a row? Weeks 3-9 of 2012 (bye week included) — a stretch of 216 regular season games.
Also, Chicago is on a 7-2-1 ATS roll, going 5-1 ATS as an underdog. However, it hasn’t covered in back-to-back games since a 4-0 ATS run from Weeks 3-7 (bye week included).
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• Green Bay has rebounded from consecutive home losses to the Panthers (16-13) and Eagles (10-7) with three straight wins over the Giants, Vikings and Lions by a combined 31 points.
The Packers easily covered the spread in the latter two contests. That follows a 1-7 ATS downturn.
• Green Bay’s 11-game winning streak against the Bears ended with a 24-22 loss as a 10-point home favorite in last year’s season finale.
Chicago also covered as a 6-point underdog in a 20-19 loss to the Packers in last year’s first meeting (Week 11).
Despite those results, the NFL betting trends in this NFC North rivalry completely favor the Packers: Since 2008, they’re 28-6 SU against Chicago (13-3 at home) and 25-9 ATS (12-5 ATS at home).
• The under is 5-1 at Lambeau Field this season. Not a single game has eclipsed 45 total points.
Also, the Bears have stayed low in three of their last four, including road contests at Minnesota (19-17) and Philadelphia.
Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5, 42)
Kickoff: Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET
ML: Texans +145/Chiefs -175
• The Chiefs’ roller-coaster season continued on Thanksgiving with a 31-28 loss at Dallas as a 3.5-point favorite.
Kansas City started the season with consecutive losses to the Chargers and Eagles (0-2 ATS), then went on a 5-1 SU and ATS run. Since Week 9, though, the Chiefs have dropped three of four, failing to cover in each contest.
• Since Patrick Mahomes took over as the franchise’s quarterback prior to the 2018 season, Kansas City has never had a 1-4 SU slump.
Also worth noting: The Chiefs are 13-3 SU on Sunday Night Football since late in the 2019 season (but just 7-9 ATS). They’ve won their last four on SNF, while going 3-1 ATS.
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• The Texans ran their winning streak to four in a row with a 20-16 Week 13 upset of the Colts as a 3-point road underdog. Since starting the season 0-3 SU and ATS, Houston has won seven of nine (6-3 ATS).
Then again, despite consecutive road wins against AFC South rivals Tennessee and Indianapolis, the Texans are still just 3-3 SU and 2-4 ATS as a visitor.
• Including a trio of playoff victories in 2015, 2019 and 2024, the Chiefs are 8-2 SU and 6-4 ATS against Houston over the past decade.
Last year, the Texans traveled to K.C. in Week 16 and fell 27-19 as a 3-point underdog, then returned a month later for an AFC Divisional playoff game and lost 23-14 (but covered as a 9.5-point underdog).
Oddly enough, the teams have alternated spread-covers in all 13 regular season meetings. The home team has cashed in the last four after the visitor went 7-2 ATS in the first nine.
• Houston (9-3) and Kansas City (8-4) sport a combined 17-7 “under” record.
Also, the Texans have fallen short of the total in four of six games as a visitor, while four of the Chiefs’ five contests at Arrowhead Stadium have stayed low.
On the flip side of the NFL betting trends ledger, five straight Chiefs-Texans battles in the regular season have hurdled the total.
Philadelphia Eagles (-3, 40.5) at Los Angeles Chargers
Kickoff: Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET
ML: Eagles -155/Chargers +130
• The Chargers emerged from their bye in Week 13 and throttled the lowly Raiders 31-14 as a 9.5-point home favorite.
Since getting blasted by the Commanders in Week 5 (27-10) and Colts in Week 7 (38-24), Los Angeles has won three straight games at SoFi Stadium by a combined score of 93-44.
Interestingly, the Chargers have not had a four-game winning streak in Los Angeles since winning five in a row to close out 2017 — the franchise’s first season after bolting San Diego.
• Philadelphia is coming off back-to-back losses to the Cowboys (24-21 on the road) and Bears (24-15 at home).
Take out a 21-point first-half at Dallas in Week 12, and the defending champs have produced just four touchdowns and 41 points in their last 14 quarters. What’s more, the Eagles have scored 21 points or fewer in four straight games, six of their last eight and seven of their last 11.
Philly’s team total scoring projection for Monday night: 21.5 points.
• A check of the Eagles’ game logs this season reveals a quirky pattern: They opened the year with four straight wins (3-1 ATS), then suffered a pair of upset losses, then won four in a row again (4-0 ATS) and have now endured two more upset defeats.
A loss in L.A. on Monday night would give Philadelphia its first three-game losing skid since Weeks 13-15 of the 2023 campaign.
• Not surprisingly given their recent offensive struggles, the Eagles have stayed under the total in four straight games.
Also, the under has cashed in each of Philadelphia’s last five Monday Night Football appearances and seven of the Chargers’ last eight on Monday night.
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