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2025 Nfl Schedule Betting, Odds, Lines: 5 Bets To Make Now, Including The Possible Aaron Rodgers-jets Reunion

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The NFL's regular-season schedule is out. And so are point spreads at BetMGM

A lot can change between now and September — Aaron Rodgers has to make a decision at some point, right? — but there are still some odds at BetMGM that are worth looking into now, after the schedule release. 

Here are five bets that should be considered, a little less than four months before the season starts: 

Jets vs. Aaron Rodgers (maybe)

The NFL has a sense of humor. It scheduled the Pittsburgh Steelers to start the season at the New York Jets. We all know why. If Aaron Rodgers signs with the Steelers, he'll start against his former team. Is there bad blood from New York? Maybe. The Jets will definitely be trying to get off to a good start with new coach Aaron Glenn, no matter who the Steelers' quarterback is. 

And what if Rodgers doesn't sign with Pittsburgh? Until it's done, we can't be certain. The Steelers are a 3-point road favorite for that Week 1 game at BetMGM, and that would change dramatically if Mason Rudolph is their quarterback. Already, it seems a bit high for a Steelers team that will need to get used to Rodgers. Grab the Jets getting a field goal while you can. 

Will Aaron Rodgers be the Steelers' quarterback in Week 1 against his old team, the New York Jets? (Photo by Luke Hales/Getty Images)
Luke Hales via Getty Images

Patriots start fast? 

One of the more surprising win totals at BetMGM is the Patriots at 8.5. That's a big jump after a 4-13 season. One reason is a soft schedule for New England. That starts in Week 1. 

The Patriots get the Las Vegas Raiders (whose win total is 6.5 at BetMGM) in Week 1. And the line is New England -2.5. It doesn't make a lot of sense to believe in the Patriots being remarkably improved but also them giving less than a field goal to a transitioning Raiders in Week 1, especially with Las Vegas traveling east for an early start. That line will not be less than a field goal for long. 

Vikings after their European vacation

The Minnesota Vikings are taking the unusual path of playing two games in two foreign countries over an eight-day stretch. And while the Vikings do get out of two road games, swapping them for neutral-site games (which is an edge no matter what Chiefs fans say), you have to wonder how it might affect them after they return. The Vikings took a bye after their Dublin/London swing, but you have to wonder if they'll be tired for a while. Their four games after that trip are tough, too: vs. Eagles, at Chargers, at Lions and vs. Ravens. Some sportsbooks will post point spreads for most of the regular season; look into fading the Vikings in anticipation of a longer European hangover than normal. 

Commanders under wins

You might not have to wait on this one. There's a lot of excitement for the Washington Commanders this season. That's what happens when you have a superstar in Jayden Daniels and win a couple of playoff games out of nowhere. The odds probably will move toward the Commanders going over their total of 9.5 wins. 

I was high on the Commanders last season but have to go the other way this season. They have a lot of regression potential. The Commanders won 12 regular-season games last season and 11 came against non-playoff teams. They also had good fortune in some areas like fourth-down conversion rate. And while getting eight standalone games is great for a long-suffering franchise, that also means they're getting the best from each of those opponents in high-profile spots. Their schedule goes from very favorable to a lot tougher this season. I'll take the under on the Commanders this season, which will be scary considering how good Daniels is. 

Brock Purdy for MVP

There's a reason Purdy isn't a favorite for MVP. The San Francisco 49ers weren't great last season, and Purdy's play slipped a bit. But there is a lot of optimism in the betting market for the 49ers (they have one of the six highest win totals at BetMGM, at 10.5 wins), and therefore there's a story to be told in which Purdy is in the MVP conversation. 

Purdy was in that conversation two seasons ago before a late-season loss to the Baltimore Ravens swung the race to Lamar Jackson. Often MVP voters make decisions based on what happens late in the season, and this season it is set up very well for Purdy to finish strong. From Week 11 on, here is the 49ers' schedule: 

  • Week 11: at Cardinals

  • Week 12: vs. Panthers (Monday night)

  • Week 13: at Browns

  • Week 14: bye

  • Week 15: vs. Titans

  • Week 16: at Colts (Monday night)

  • Week 17: vs. Bears (Sunday night)

  • Week 18: vs. Seahawks

That's about as soft of a finishing stretch as you'll ever find and also with three prime-time games. Those help in MVP conversations. The 49ers are going from the toughest schedule in the NFL last season to the easiest. If Purdy puts up good numbers after losing some valuable teammates on offense, he'll be in the MVP conversation. At 28-to-1 odds, it's worth speculating on. 


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